Base RatesMusic I loved in 2022The music I like seems to fall quite consistently into just two categories:Dec 28, 2022Dec 28, 2022
Base RatesWe should say more than “x-risk is high”Epistemic status: outlining a take that I think is maybe 50% likely to be right.Dec 16, 2022Dec 16, 2022
Base RatesHow I use accountability betsI frequently use accountability bets to ensure I get things done. Accountability bets are where you commit to giving someone a certain…Oct 15, 2022Oct 15, 2022
Base RatesOn absurdity and effective altruism“Accepting the absurdity of everything around us is one step, a necessary experience: it should not become a dead end. It arouses a revolt…Oct 8, 20221Oct 8, 20221
Base RatesTrack rest, not just workI think keeping track of how many hours I work is worth doing. It helps me stay calibrated on how productive my week has been, which in…Aug 15, 2022Aug 15, 2022
Base RatesThings usually end slowlyEpistemic status: Low confidence. These findings updated me slightly towards worrying more about slow declines vs. sudden…Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022
Base RatesGrantmaking is more like a skill than a pathSomething I recently posted on the Effective Altruism forum.Mar 13, 2022Mar 13, 2022
Base RatesNotes on Hold Me Tight by Dr Sue JohnsonI recently read Hold Me Tight by Dr Sue Johnson, a highly regarded relationship therapy book. The book outlines the process of Emotionally…Jan 23, 20221Jan 23, 20221
Base RatesAssorted facts about the Maya CivilisationI’ve been lucky enough to visit some Maya ruins recently, in Guatemala and Mexico. To celebrate, here’s a short post listing some…Jan 10, 2022Jan 10, 2022
Base RatesMusic I loved in 2021I’m not a very adventurous music listener. The music I like seems to fall quite consistently into just two categories:Dec 28, 2021Dec 28, 2021
