Base Rates·Dec 28, 2022Music I loved in 2022The music I like seems to fall quite consistently into just two categories:
Base Rates·Dec 16, 2022We should say more than “x-risk is high”Epistemic status: outlining a take that I think is maybe 50% likely to be right.
Base Rates·Oct 15, 2022How I use accountability betsI frequently use accountability bets to ensure I get things done. Accountability bets are where you commit to giving someone a certain…
Base Rates·Oct 8, 2022On absurdity and effective altruism“Accepting the absurdity of everything around us is one step, a necessary experience: it should not become a dead end. It arouses a revolt…A response icon1A response icon1
Base Rates·Aug 15, 2022Track rest, not just workI think keeping track of how many hours I work is worth doing. It helps me stay calibrated on how productive my week has been, which in…
Base Rates·Jun 3, 2022Things usually end slowlyEpistemic status: Low confidence. These findings updated me slightly towards worrying more about slow declines vs. sudden…
Base Rates·Mar 13, 2022Grantmaking is more like a skill than a pathSomething I recently posted on the Effective Altruism forum.
Base Rates·Jan 23, 2022Notes on Hold Me Tight by Dr Sue JohnsonI recently read Hold Me Tight by Dr Sue Johnson, a highly regarded relationship therapy book. The book outlines the process of Emotionally…A response icon1A response icon1
Base Rates·Jan 10, 2022Assorted facts about the Maya CivilisationI’ve been lucky enough to visit some Maya ruins recently, in Guatemala and Mexico. To celebrate, here’s a short post listing some…
Base Rates·Dec 28, 2021Music I loved in 2021I’m not a very adventurous music listener. The music I like seems to fall quite consistently into just two categories:
