Base RatesMusic I loved in 2022The music I like seems to fall quite consistently into just two categories:6 min read·Dec 28, 2022----
Base RatesWe should say more than “x-risk is high”Epistemic status: outlining a take that I think is maybe 50% likely to be right.4 min read·Dec 16, 2022----
Base RatesHow I use accountability betsI frequently use accountability bets to ensure I get things done. Accountability bets are where you commit to giving someone a certain…3 min read·Oct 15, 2022----
Base RatesOn absurdity and effective altruism“Accepting the absurdity of everything around us is one step, a necessary experience: it should not become a dead end. It arouses a revolt…5 min read·Oct 8, 2022--1--1
Base RatesTrack rest, not just workI think keeping track of how many hours I work is worth doing. It helps me stay calibrated on how productive my week has been, which in…4 min read·Aug 15, 2022----
Base RatesThings usually end slowlyEpistemic status: Low confidence. These findings updated me slightly towards worrying more about slow declines vs. sudden…7 min read·Jun 3, 2022----
Base RatesGrantmaking is more like a skill than a pathSomething I recently posted on the Effective Altruism forum.6 min read·Mar 13, 2022----
Base RatesNotes on Hold Me Tight by Dr Sue JohnsonI recently read Hold Me Tight by Dr Sue Johnson, a highly regarded relationship therapy book. The book outlines the process of Emotionally…9 min read·Jan 23, 2022--1--1
Base RatesAssorted facts about the Maya CivilisationI’ve been lucky enough to visit some Maya ruins recently, in Guatemala and Mexico. To celebrate, here’s a short post listing some…3 min read·Jan 10, 2022----
Base RatesMusic I loved in 2021I’m not a very adventurous music listener. The music I like seems to fall quite consistently into just two categories:10 min read·Dec 28, 2021----